Therefore, the key match which will determine the championship will be how they perform against Scotland. England have the third highest win probability of the big three in this match which leads to their third place tournament prediction.
Our final stop in our Six Nations 2026 preview series is England. A once great power but who´s last proper tournament victory was in 2017, are they back and on course for victory the year before a World Cup? Recent form has been excellent, the atmosphere around camp seems to be one of expectation, and Henry Pollock is rampaging across pitches and social media alike. Have they got enough to topple an Irish slide on the slide and a France who you never really know which version will turn up? Overall, we would not be surprised if England do manage to win the tournament, but due to the nature of the fixtures, it is Ireland who are favourites to win the whole shebang.
Tournament Chances
England are ranked third favourites behind Ireland and France, whilst being well clear of Scotland in fourth. They also share a 10% chance of winning the Grand Slam with Ireland whilst France have a 13% chance. It is very tight, and it will depend on a couple of games which we’ll look at further below. However, these are the best pre-tournament chances we have seen for England in many years.
Recent Form
England’s recent form has been impressive. This has seen England climb up our World Rankings and are now up to fourth, overtaking France. It is incredibly close between Ireland, England and France which is reflected in the predictions for this tournament. Over the past ten games, England have a 100% record over their past ten matches. These have included impressive victories against New Zealand, and some decent performances away in Argentina on the summer tours.
2026 Six Nations Fixtures and Predictions
England start the tournament with a cake walk at home to Wales before the key match away in Edinburgh against Scotland. England have a terrible recent record against Scotland and only won by one point last year at home, and many suggesting that was only due to the referee’s performance that day. As we have noted in other previews, the matches between England, Ireland and France are on a knife edge. Therefore, the key match which will determine the championship will be how they perform against Scotland. England have the third highest win probability of the three in this match which leads to their third place tournament prediction.
England face Ireland at home and France away in the big crunch games. Whilst being close, England will be pleased with a win and a loss from those games which, depending on how the Scotland game goes, could be enough to take the title depending on the bonus points.
Betting Outlook
England are badly priced with the bookies, and their win chances are very overestimated. This means that there is little value on an England bet to win the tournament at this stage.
Any chance of a Grand Slam? Again, England are mispriced, and there is little value for a bet. We predict that England have an 11% chance but the bookies are rating it at 23%, so one to steer clear of.
