After Liverpool’s slip up, the title is Arsenal’s to lose whilst in La Liga, Real Madrid are the favourites for El Clásico
Welcome to the Weekend Preview 24 October 2025. A full Premier League schedule awaits, kicking off under the lights at Elland Road before a packed weekend of domestic action across England and Europe. Our model highlights some potential surprises, and a few solid favourites heading into Matchweek 9. Across Europe and the World there are plenty of great betting opportunities to be had as well.
Football4Cast Weekend Preview 24 October 2025
Liverpool had a major slip-up losing to Manchester United last weekend meaning the title really is in Arsenal’s hands. This weekend’s action starts on Friday night, where Leeds United host West Ham. It’s tighter than expected — Leeds hold a 48% chance of victory, but West Ham at 23% represent the model’s surprise value pick, with a draw at 28% also in play. Still, we’re leaning Leeds United thanks to home form and West Ham’s dreadful form.
Saturday brings the 3pm kickoffs, beginning at St James’ Park where Newcastle (55%) are tipped to beat Fulham (20%), with 25% on the draw. Over at Stamford Bridge, Chelsea (67%) look too strong for Sunderland (14%).
At 5:30pm, Manchester United and Brighton both sit on 36%, with 28% on the draw — a true toss-up. United’s form has improved after two consecutive league wins, but Brighton’s pressing game makes this one that could go either way.
The evening match at 8pm sees Brentford host Liverpool. Our model has Liverpool (57%) ahead, though Brentford’s stubborn home record means that Liverpool can’t take anything for granted. We’re leaning Liverpool, especially after their midweek European rout.
At the Emirates, Arsenal (65%) should have too much for Crystal Palace (12%), with 23% on the draw — backing Arsenal comfortably. Bournemouth (56%) are favourites over Nottingham Forest (19%), while Wolves (51%) edge Burnley (21%) at Molineux.
The headline clash comes at Villa Park, where Manchester City (50%) travel to Aston Villa (25%). Our model narrowly sides with City but flags a real risk of an upset — leaning Manchester City.
Finally, Everton (39%) host Tottenham (32%) at 5:30pm on Sunday, with 29% on the draw. Given both sides’ unpredictable form, this one could go either way.
Premier League Betting Value
As usual, most Premier League markets are well-priced, with limited major discrepancies between model and odds. However, one fixture stand out:
- Man united (37%) vs Brighton (35%) – Whilst this match could go either way or finish in a draw, Manchester United are overpriced at the bookies and as always, it is this which makes the difference between a bad bet and a sensible bet. Brighton are good value at 3.20+ and odds of 3.70 are available.
Premier League Season Outlook
With Liverpool slipping up, Arsenal really do have the edge in this season’s title race. Arsenal stretch out to a 60% chance of winning the title whilst Liverpool have dropped to 18%. Man City are holding steady at 21%.
At the other end, Nottingham Forest have lost the plot and are now in serious relegation trouble. Unthinkable only a couple of months ago, they have come from nowhere to be relegation candidates. West Ham and Wolves are also in real trouble, which would represent a real shock for three established Premier League teams to go down, considering the resources at their disposal.
European Focus: La Liga – Real Madrid v Barcelona
El Clásico is back and it promises to be a belter. Real Madrid are not at their fluent best yet under Xabi Alonso but top the table by two points from Barcelona. We are leaning towards a Real Madrid victory in this one, mainly because of home advantage. Barcelona, obviously, have plenty of attacking threats so do not be surprised if they get a good victory.
The bookies are in broad agreement with our model and there isn’t any value betting on this game with neither side reaching the value threshold in the market.
Overall in La Liga, it is Real Madrid who hold the edge for outright honours with a 64% chance and naturally Barcelona in second with 35% chance of success. As it is Spain, no one else has a chance.
New Feature for Premium Members
For Premium members, we now have a new feature: Bet Grading
Our upgraded Bet Grading system now rates each recommended bet for clarity and confidence:
- Grade A: Strongest edges, highest confidence
- Grade B: Moderate value and stable confidence
- Grade C: Smaller or high-variance plays
It’s designed to help you prioritise opportunities, manage risk, and track edge consistency across the season.
Here is our top A pick of the weekend and its from League 2: Barrow at home to Barnet:
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