France take on New Zealand in the opening weekend of the Autumn Internationals, but what’s the history between the two teams? And who is likely to win?
These sides have met 57 times in the past with New Zealand leading the way with 44 wins. France have manged 12 wins, with the remaining match a draw. New Zealand are currently on a 10 match winning steak versus the French and our model suggests this will continue with the latest predictions giving New Zealand a 44-13 win in Paris.
Their first ever match came in 1906, the Kiwis coming away as 38-8 victors – no mean feat with the then 3 point tries. Infrequent French wins punctuated New Zealand dominance with the French golden period coming in the 90s where the record for the decade stood at 4 wins and 4 losses including a famous World Cup win at home in Marseille. New Zealand have since extended their dominance over the French, losing just 3 games since 2000. So can France cause an upset?
Unlikely, we feel. Despite a couple of recent New Zealand losses to the British Lions and Australia, the All Blacks status as world beaters remains statistically sound. With just 3 losses in the past 2 years, they average 38.5 points per game for the concession of just 16.
France on the other hand have 7 wins from 18 in the previous 2 years with their last win over a SANZA nation in 2014 against Australia.
The French are unpredictable however, and are always good for an upset. We are confident of our predictions however, and stand by a strong New Zealand win.